Noah Grassi
-Realtor, ABR (Accredited Buyer Representative), E-Pro
Pass The Knowledge!

San Diego Market Report- Detached Homes

  FEB 09 FEB 08 % Change
Median Sales Price $335,000 $440,000 -23.86%
# Of Sold Listings 1,343 887 +51.40%
Interest Rate (30 yr) 5.07% 6.24% -18.75%
CA 1st Time Buyer Affordability 59% 33% +112.5%
Avg. Days Market 76 83 -9.21%

Real Estate Market Update


There is lots of news to report since my last newsletter. The biggest piece of information is the passage of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009. The national consensus is that housing got us into this mess and only housing can get us out. Below I have outlined some of the important elements of this new legislation. As I did last issues, I have highlighted positive news is in GREEN and negative bits in RED. (Look at all that GREEN!!!!!)

1- $8,000 Federal Tax Credit to First Time Home Buyers! This bill has increased the first-time home buyer credit from $7,500 to $8,000. It also removed any payback requirement as long as you don't sell the home within 3 years of the purchase date. To qualify, homebuyers must have purchased a home after Jan. 1, 2009, and before Dec. 1, 2009, to be eligible for the $8,000 credit. First time home buyer is anybody who has not owned a home within the last 3 years. There are some income limits, so email me for more details and with any questions.

2- $10,000 State Tax Credit For Purchase of Newly Built Homes. This differs from the Federal Tax Credit because it only applies to newly constructed homes and there is no "first time buyer" restriction. Also, this credit starts on March 1st and last until March 1st of 2010. There is a 2 year occupancy requirement and the tax credit is spread across 3 years- $3,333 per year.

3- Conforming Loan Limit Raised. To qualify for the best rates and terms on a loan, borrowers need to be within the "conforming loan limit" otherwise they are classified as "jumbo" which carries higher rates. This new loan limit has been raised to $729,750, up from $625,500 in many areas of California. For San Diego, it looks like our conforming loan limit is going to be capped at $697,500 for the County. As of now, the limit is good through the end of 2009 but more changes might be coming.

4- Lender Rates and Timelines. Lenders are flooded with loan applications and refinances so their processing timelines have slowed. Be prepared for this! What does this mean for you? Pre-qualifications don't hold much value these days...sellers and their agents want to see somebody that has formal loan approval. Spend the extra effort and wait time for this- it will strengthen your buying position. Also, lenders have so much business in their pipeline they haven't had to stay as competitive on rates as they could be. Keep an eye on rate changes these next few weeks, now that Washington has put their plan into place and hopefully removed some uncertainty from the marketplace.

5- Want to Refinance but don't have the equity? One component of the Homeowner Affordability & Stability Plan is assistance for homeowners that want/need to refinance their existing loan but don't have the required equity in the property to do so. This piece is essential to helping those homeowners who are still working, have paid their mortgage on time and want to stay in their home. Through no fault of their own, housing prices have dropped and they have no option to refinance. For example:

Let's say a buyer purchased a home in 2005 for $500,000, put 20% down payment and has a 30 year fixed mortgage at 6.5%. Now the home is worth $400,000, rates are at 5% and the owner wants to refinance. In the past this hasn't been an option since the owner has no equity in the property (they owe $400,000 and it is worth $400,000). With this new bill, there will now be options for this owner to refinance despite not having the equity most lenders require (20% equity).

6- Purchasing Timelines. My buyers that are searching for a home right now are experiencing a longer timeline than expected to find the right home. Why is this? In most areas, many of the homes for sale involve a bank -whether a foreclosure or a short sale. This creates lots of competition, slows down the process and forces buyers to pursue multiple homes before they have a shot at one. If you are looking to buy in 3-6 months, you should have already been in my car viewing properties!

7- San Diego Ranks 2nd on National Survey. The Pew Research Center conducted a national survey asking people what would be there top metropolitan destination if they had to live somewhere other than their current city. San Diego came in second, behind Denver and their 300+ days of sunshine every year.

8- 31% Debt to Income Ratio Target. The Homeowner Stability Initiative is a program designed to reduce homeowners' monthly debt to income ratio to 31%. You don't have to be delinquent to participate in this program. Many owners in California spend much more than 40% of their monthly take-home income on housing. This program allows the lender to reduce this mark to 38 percent of the owner's monthly income. Next, the initiative would match further reductions in interest payments (split between the government and lender) to bring that ratio down to 31 percent. Lenders will also be able to bring down monthly payments by reducing the principal owed on the mortgage, with Treasury sharing in the costs.

9- Investors can now finance up to 10 properties! Previously there was a limit of 4 properties that a private investor could finance at one time. Now "high quality" investors (720+ Fico, 25-30% downpayment) can finance up to 10 investment properties!

Deals Of The Month- San Diego!
  • Bank Owned Foreclosure- Pacific Beach!
  • Crown Point Area- short walk to bay, 92109
  • List at 169,900!
  • 1BR/1BA, 569 sq. ft.
  • Originally Built in 1969 but redone in 2005!
  • Last Sold in Sept 2006 for almost $300,000!
  • $189/month for HOA!
  • Click here for mapped location of home
  • End unit, balcony, nobody above, assigned parking spot.
  • Potential Rents: $1,000 to $1,250 per month
  • Great location- just blocks to the Bay and not far from the heart of Pacific Beach. Solar power, granite countertops, and stainless steel appliances!
  • Bank Approved Short Sale!
  • Downtown San Diego- Gaslamp, 92101
  • Asking $379,900! Top Floor Unit!
  • 2BR/2BA, 1,016 sq ft
  • Complex: Gaslamp City Square
  • Built in 2004. HOA Dues $340/month
  • Estimated rents of $2,350 to $2,750!
  • Click here for mapped location of home
  • Days on Market: 11 days and counting...
  • Last sold for $601,000 in 2006!
  • One of Noah's Top 3 Downtown Buildings- email me for my reasons.
  • Located right on 5th Avenue- 2 parking spaces and furnishings included!
   
  • Short Sale in Scripps Ranch! Just Listed!
  • San Diego, 92131
  • Asking $457,000!
  • 4BR/3BA, 1,570 sq ft., Built in 1991
  • Last Sold for $635k in 3/2005.
  • Click here for mapped location of home
  • 2 car garage, upgrades, yard!
  • Located in the heart of Scripps Ranch which is a great San Diego family community with good schools and near Miramar Reservoir.
  • Carmel Valley Short Sale!
  • San Diego, 92130
  • Listed for $515,000
  • 3BR/2.5BA, 1,615 sq ft, built 2003
  • $289 per month in HOA & Mello Roos.
  • Click here for mapped location of home
  • Last sold for $635,000 in 10/2007
  • Great freeway access to 5, 15 or 56, views across valley, located on a cul-de-sac, only built 5 years ago.
   
Dow Jones Industrial Average
Dow Jones

The two largest investments in American are the real estate market and the stock market. We all know how the housing market is evaluated- check my chart above. We also all know how the stock market's performance is tracked but do you know what the Dow Jones really is?

You probably hear about the "Dow" almost every day and it is the most common referenced gauge on how the stock market is performing. Common sense would suggest it is the total of all the stocks in a particular market and whether they are up or down for the day...wrong!

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is an index of thirty, "blue chip" (aka well established companies) stocks that are publicly traded. It is believed that by looking at the companies on the list, a person can get a general picture of how the market as a whole is performing. The Dow is perhaps the most quoted and followed index in the world, and dates back to May 26, 1896.

The Dow Jones average is computed by summing the prices of the stocks in the average (30 of them- see list below) and then dividing by a constant called the "divisor". The divisor for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is adjusted periodically to reflect splits in the stocks making up the average. The divisor was originally 30 but has been reduced over the years to a value far less than one. The current value of the divisor is about 0.123; the precise value is published in the Wall Street Journal and Barron's.

30 Companies of the Dow Jones Industrial Average:

3M Company
Alcoa Incorporated
American Express Company
AT&T Incorporated
Bank of America Corporation
Boeing Corporation
Caterpillar Incorporated
Chevron Corporation
Citigroup Incorporated
Coca-Cola Company
DuPont
Exxon Mobil Corporation
General Electric Company
General Motors Corporation
Hewlett-Packard Company
Home Depot Incorporated
Intel Corporation
International Business Machines
Johnson & Johnson
J.P. Morgan Chase & Company
Kraft Foods Inc.
McDonald’s Corporation
Merck & Company, Incorporated
Microsoft Corporation
Pfizer Incorporated
Procter & Gamble Company
United Technologies
Verizon Company
Wal-Mart Stores Incorporated
Walt Disney Company

Some important events of the Dow Jones:

  • The largest one day percentage drop occurred on "Black Monday", October 19, 1987, when the average fell 22.61%.
  • The 3rd largest point drop in DJIA history, and largest at the time, occurred on September 17, 2001, the first day of trading after the 9/11 attacks, when the Dow fell 684.81 points, or 7.1%.
  • On October 9, 2007, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at the record level of 14,164.53.
  • On March 5th, 2009, the index closed at new 12.5 year low near 6,600 and had lost 20% in only six weeks.
 
Monthly Trivia- Stock Market!
Monthly Prize!

It has been a wild ride on Wall Street lately. For this month's trivia game, I want your best guess for the Dow Jones Industrial Average at the closing bell on April 17th. All entries are due by March 17th.

Prize for the closest correct answer is:

6 months free subscription to Netflicks!

EVERYBODY RECEIVNG THIS NEWSLETTER IS ELIGABLE TO PARTICIPATE!

Email me your guess by March 17th!


Congratulations to last month's winner of the $100 Trader Joe's Gift Card:

Bill Marchesano (a die hard Eagles fan wins the Super Bowl guess on a Steelers win...that's ironic)


Quote of the Month:

"Success is getting what you want, happiness is wanting what you get."

-Dale Carnegie, American writer/lecturer (1888-1955)

YouTube Clip of The Month -Walk In Closets!
YouTube Clip of the Month Taking a quick break and enjoying the lighter side of real estate, I present the YouTube clip of the month. It's short and in German but funny...enjoy!

 

Calendar of Events
Upcoming Events:

Whale Watching onboard the yacht "America"
March 1st - April 26th
Location & Info: Daily trips from the Maritime Museum of San Diego. Adults $85, Children $44
Link: www.sdmaritime.com

The Musical "Rent" comes to San Diego
March 10th - 15th
Location: Civic Theatre Downtown
Link: www.broadwaysd.com

Rascal Flatts with Jessica Simpson
Friday March 13th
Location: Cricket Wireless Amphitheatre
Link: www.livenation.com

Wine Tasting 2009
Sunday March 15th
Location & Info: 200 family owned wineries share their harvest at the Del Mar Fairgrounds.
Link: www.familywinemakers.org

St. Patrick's Day
Tuesday March 17th
Location & Info: ShamRock returns to the Gaslamp.
Link: www.gaslampquarter.org

San Diego Indie Music Fest
Saturday March 28th
Location & Info: 15 hours of independent music, art exhibits, food & drink on University Ave in North Park.
Link: www.sdindiemusicfest.com

 
Lender Referrals:

Nick Dawson!

Nick Dawson
Dawson Harris Group
Office: 619-297-4000 x101
Cell: 858-353-6425
Email: ndawson@DawsonHarris.com
www.DawsonHarris.com

Will Wolters!

Will Wolters
Mortgage Consultant
Premium Funding Group
Phone: 858.213.3743
Email: will@premiumfunding.com
www.premiumfunding.com

Past Newsletters

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January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
September 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008